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Subject Topic: Forecasting Economic /Stock Market Trends Post ReplyPost New Topic
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nikzafri
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Posted: 03 February 2007 at 6:25pm | IP Logged Quote nikzafri
Thanks guys.

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Almerica
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Posted: 03 February 2007 at 4:50pm | IP Logged Quote Almerica
I am not one who agrees fully with everything any government does because we are at the end of the day merely observers on bigger things we cannot control, like or dislike for that matter. But I think that we have the right to decide which country we deem fit to trade with. We can't just stop any trade due to one or two countries' opinions. Of course when you have a country that is unanimously "blacklisted" under the WTO then to trade with that country may carry its repercussions but until then I think there is no basis for talks of any kinds to be halted. It may look like childishness on the part of one party but also be deemed as attempting to bully from the other.

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johndoe05
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Posted: 03 February 2007 at 10:47am | IP Logged Quote johndoe05
nikzafri wrote:

So, what do you all think about the demand by US Congress Tom Lantos 'and 'co' on Bush NOT to carry on with the FTA due to our decision regarding the energy deal with Iran.

What do you think would be the effects if FTA not approved?

Some quarters told me just now that we won't be on the loosing side if FTA didn't go on despite the latest figure shows (according to a source in a local paper) that Malaysia has experienced a 50% growth amounting to RM126 billion (in 4 years time from just RM84 billion - which automatically made US the biggest 'business partner' in Malaysia)

Another school of thought (from an American friend and agreed by a Malaysian friend-both in Malaysia) said  to oppose FTA if the workers' prevailing issues are not part of it. (e.g. more focus on workers' rights and FTA is claimed despite some flexibility allocated on corporate matters but it also may result (or excuse) in 'downsizing' and even affect other business opportunities especially in the United States)

Some entrepreneurs say that this is something normal and will pass - meaning, the FTA would be approved.

So what can a RM120 billion ++ do to us if the FTA is cancelled?

 

It's true that US is using preasure to boycott m'sia's export if FTA is not agreed upon. BUt at this trend even China is already a "open door policy" on any foreign country.

I guess M'sia just have to understand the advantages of the FTA. Looking at the way government is handling the situation is based on "egoistic". Look at the anger & ego of our very own PM and some of his minsters during their statement to the press. It really childish.



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Almerica
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Posted: 03 February 2007 at 12:44am | IP Logged Quote Almerica
My personal opinion? I think that as long as Bush is President and he goes against the FTA, he will single handedly, slowly but surely erode the position of the US being the largest trading partner of many countries and make it into one that is slowly boycotted by many. He is too much in his own world and have what I call having a "paranoid" mentality, and what's worse is that he deems himself to be infallible. He will slowly run out of favour from those who have once supported the US without question. Heck look at what's happening, staunch allies like Blair, is paying the price of his own position in his own country due to his support for Bush in the Iraq fiasco. How many more leaders are willing to support Bush and take the risk of losing their popularity votes from their own public. Supporting Bush is like taking on a huge liability. He's pointing here, there and everywhere (Iran, Syria, China) and coming up with policies that seem to be heading nowhere.

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arifin34
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Posted: 02 February 2007 at 10:43pm | IP Logged Quote arifin34

dear all!

here's a bit from a guy who have studied 'conventional economics' from down under (at anu - they all came here today [read as 'to die'!)... but have always argued on the simplifying assumptioms. economics was after all an anglo-american invention (lots of jews there!) - they theorises a lot for their benefit and becomes truly 'terrorists' at that!

(when) we have learned and begin to play on a 'level playing field' .... they start 'changing the goal posts'! all these despite the doha rounds of wto being stalled for a couple of years now....!. 

my, my and we malaysians being physically 'shorter' are once again faced with the unsurmountable threat to keep their goal scores from hammering into our net! talk about fairer trade!? its more of going back to autarky by default!



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nikzafri
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Posted: 02 February 2007 at 8:47pm | IP Logged Quote nikzafri

So, what do you all think about the demand by US Congress Tom Lantos 'and 'co' on Bush NOT to carry on with the FTA due to our decision regarding the energy deal with Iran.

What do you think would be the effects if FTA not approved?

Some quarters told me just now that we won't be on the loosing side if FTA didn't go on despite the latest figure shows (according to a source in a local paper) that Malaysia has experienced a 50% growth amounting to RM126 billion (in 4 years time from just RM84 billion - which automatically made US the biggest 'business partner' in Malaysia)

Another school of thought (from an American friend and agreed by a Malaysian friend-both in Malaysia) said  to oppose FTA if the workers' prevailing issues are not part of it. (e.g. more focus on workers' rights and FTA is claimed despite some flexibility allocated on corporate matters but it also may result (or excuse) in 'downsizing' and even affect other business opportunities especially in the United States)

Some entrepreneurs say that this is something normal and will pass - meaning, the FTA would be approved.

So what can a RM120 billion ++ do to us if the FTA is cancelled?



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freeasabird
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Posted: 02 February 2007 at 4:35pm | IP Logged Quote freeasabird

JUDGE 4URSELVES HOW PYTHONS SLITHERS

I've shown in the past few postings how snakes get their preys. Now see 4urself how they display their predatory instincts in realtime quotes. The link below consists of the majority and tradable derivatives such as FKLI and FKLI Calender Spreads, FCPO and FCPO Calender Spreads, SSF and SSF Calender Spreads. Only KLIBOR and FOREX is not inclusive. Monitor at your pleasure and try your level best how to spot when the predators will strike. It may not be easy initially to notice a pre-emptive strke but trust me you will learn to observe in due time how they coil b4 a strike and that's the moment we'll be waiting for to take a position. Call that a strike b4 a strike ........ Snake In The Eagle's Shadow?

http://mdex.n2nconnect.com/mdex.html

Just click and you're in ..... no registration, no log-in, no nothing. FOC too

Have Fun fellas and goodluck2all

freeasabird tweet tweet!! 



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freeasabird
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Posted: 02 February 2007 at 11:04am | IP Logged Quote freeasabird

BURSA IS LIKE A HOUSE OF MIRRORS

Be it equities or derivative tradings, there are distortions aplenty in mkts here, there and everywhere. Anything else is new?

When I made my first posting in this esteem forum, Birdy actually needed some other investors' views rather than to gauge for expertise or investment abilities knowing too well we're only as good as our last trade.

The FKLI did retraced somewhat after I posted but as proven today, those misled poor souls especially the FKLI shorters are skinned and deboned. The KLCI just broke 1200 today with the FKLI opening with a massive 18.5pts quantum leap and the FKLI is still in discount! SHORTERS? What shorters? They're all history oledi.

Just pick a BURSA brochure for derivatives trading introductions - lo and behold! the emphasis on the power of leverages, hedging and short-coverings projects an oh-so-easy alternative trade. If it's just a choice of LONG or SHORT, then the odds are even better than Genting's or MAGNUM4d.

But the moment a FKLI newbie takes a random walk into BURSA's House Of Mirrors, things  don't look the way it's suppose 2b or as advertised. Distortions, misproportioned and deceiving images obscure the poor guy's vision and you expect a disoriented newbie to think straight? Abeh Nik said it best ...... "there's too many roads to take." At the end of the day, the poor soul became poorer and he still cannot figure out whether he's coming or going (Long or Short). But you can trust BURSA to make it all legal when it's in fact a form of misleading investment. Equities, SSF, FKLI, FCPO or KLIBOR ..... What is obvious is obviously wrong. Get my drift?

p/s Abeh Nik, if Birdy can further assist on any ivestment subjects/topics relevent to this forum, count on me. And should your kindself needs to know more about Birdy & his Kelate endeavours; do not hesitate to contact me with Yahoo Messenger or email me at ......

firdy888@yahoo.com.sg

freeasabird tweet tweet!!



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nikzafri
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Posted: 01 February 2007 at 1:18pm | IP Logged Quote nikzafri

Hi birdy (not tweety huh?)

Actually your queries on FKLI is to me something that everyone should think of (especially the 'top people' in the market - I'm very sure they are aware of this but decide to use the 'non-disclosure' clause ) while we're too excited and probably tempted on the bullish market based on KLCI performance (just don't forget 1998). It's still to me...uncertain. And due to this 'volatility', it's hard to say whether FKLI is at stake or otherwise. Among all of us here, I think you are the BEST person to answer based on your familiarity with the market. I; on the other hand; only a laymen and a freelance researcher (not really deserved to be called 'intellectuals' - not yet)  Yes, you are right to say that sometimes, instinct and intuition are also the two very important elements but it must be based and driven by experience.

The rest of the gang? WE are the rest of the gang - in fact there's not too many of us here anyway - so with you joining the 'show', it's like another 10 person coming in. So in short there's about '50' (now '60') of us (1:10) namely Brother Ariffin, John Doe, Ahvincent, seaydog, (yourself) and myself. Everyone has their own 'branding' and you're complementing the team by coming in with 'futures!'...cool!

Yes, 'Jibberish'...seems to be a common mispelling. Actually Jibberish is also 'Gibberish' but 'Jibberish' is moreless a 'slang' which you can find in 'urban dictionary' . Actually you're correct, scholastically speaking...it's Gibberish. Sorry teacher...(I don't know...but Gibberish/Jibberish sounds very much like 'talking rubbish' - hahahahaha) - and the ski game is 'damn thrilling good' as well - I can't be in trance whenever I play !

I'm curious..are you from Kelantan? (cummon it's ok to tell me..) Yes, making money alright especially on 'get rich quick schemes'

A Dissertation on Tape Reading? Not yet 'lah'...I'm just about to 'delve into the unknown parallel dimension of the past' via my 'so-called meditation'...who knows - I might be 'in trance'..gimme time...



Edited by nikzafri on 01 February 2007 at 1:20pm


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freeasabird
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Posted: 01 February 2007 at 11:29am | IP Logged Quote freeasabird

A BIRD'S-EYE VIEW TRADERS & TRADING

Hi guys, it's birdy again,

freeasabird wrote:

Hi guys, Can anyone here pls enlighten,me why is the FKLI is discount when the KLCI is so bullish? Is it a "futuristic" indication of "not so rosy " days ahead for the market? Correct me if I'm wrong but a premium FKLI should be more complimentary to a bullish KLCI, no? Note : I noticed that the FKLI discount had widened somewhat from a few days ago. An early retracement signal?

When I first posted the above last week, I only wished 2hv some other neutral views or analysis  of the FKLI. Birdy needed more panaromic angles instead of  just my own top-down perspective - nothing more nothing less. Anyway, the mkt did retrace somewhat and resumed it's bullishnes after netting some FKLI SHORTERS of course. The mkt theme here can be construe as : What's obvious is obviously wrong

And I haven't the faintest idea how it ended up as part of Saudara nikzafri's infamous anecdotes!!! I'd like to take that as a compliment, tq bro nik

It's an honour 2b amongst the company of so many  excellent intellectuals in this esteem forum albeit the participants are a little spread-eagled. What happened to the rest of the gang? Going by the date and postings, I'm sure there should be more than 5 of us market survivors here, yours truly included.

BTW bro nikzafri, I hope you dun confuse Jibberish with Gibberish when the former is a popular kind of 3D computer skiing game developed by some whiz kid. Gibberish , on the other hand, is unintelligent meaningless mumblings usually associated with mumbo-jumbos, abacabrabas & gobbledygooks. Bro nik, in his state of meditating trance (as he claims 2b) must be refering to the latter or else I'll freakout picturing our snow-blind friend skiing up the grass slopes and into the foyer of BM in Bukit Kewangan.

Anyway, I'm always impressed by the Kelate end products. None in KL beats Ayam Goreng ABC or Kak Wook's Nasi Lemak (opp. Maybank) in KB.

Kaweh Kelate nie terra dan chunnya. Bikin pitih sokmo. Birdy tabik habis demo belaka. Benar!!!

Note : I can hardly wait for abeh nik 2 post his thesis or research on Ticker Tape Reading here in this forum. If it's coming from Kelate, it's gotta be awesome. Prepare thyself for a scream I reiterate I may not be much of an avid reader and should the need arises, I'll chant. Rite, abeh nik?

CHEERIO & HAPPY TRADING.

 

 

  

 



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