| Posted: 24 November 2006 at 10:39am | IP Logged
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Dear Fellow Global Malaysians....
Remember the swift takeover of Guthrie on the London Stock Exchange in 1981? The takeover allowed us the return of ownership of some 200,000 acres (800 km˛) of agricultural land back to Malaysians. It caught my imagination then, which soon followed with me doing a Masters thesis at ANU back in 1983-85. Its been 25 years (yes, they could have celebrated a silver jubilee by now!) and now, as Kumpulan Guthrie (majority stake owned by PNB) is poised to play a pivotal role in a mega merger between plantation companies under the PNB stable of companies.
"The merger of Sime Darby Bhd, Kumpulan Guthrie Bhd and Golden Hope Plantations Bhd will create one of the largest palm oil companies in the world, with a total planted area of close to 525,000ha," says one c ommentary. In fact they are now out there debating on the key benefits and risk of the proposed merger..... who's right or wrong is another matter.
Question: What do you all think? (Never mind what the experts/journalists/ analysts are saying) -- your ideas, fellow 'smaller' Malaysians, are worth noting.
My first thoughts were: "Synergistic benefits should outweigh risk factors. The whole issue of economies of scale alone and being on the global radar in global equities markets are not strong enough. If all these can (should) be translated into optimal/greater efficiencies in operations at the plantation level, then its a worthwhile mega play (Just use IOI Corp as a benchmark in efficiency - we don't have to look elsewhere!)."
Secondly: There goes the CEOs.... or are they going to be retained them? Too many 'Sinbads' can sink ships in 1,001 ways.....
Thirdly: To the SC/Bursa, Please take good care for the minority shareholders of the companies concerned. The small players should be rewarded in the best possible way (Don't let the experience of the IPO for TH Plantations be repeated! Even though the Govt wants the ordinary people, LUTH depositors, to benefit as well.... yet the main bulk of them in smaller towns missed the opportunity!!!! And its trading around at RM2.50 now, compared with the IPO price of RM1.25 then).
TQ.
__________________ ARIFIN ABDUL LATIF
State Director of Agriculture, Ipoh | Senior Consultant, ArifinLatif Consulting.
Freelance Consultant on Forecasting Econs/Stock Market Trends; ICT; PVP 0166094170
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